Well, Russia will lose the war. Or at least not win. If Putin is kicked out of the Donbas or Crimea has to be seen. Is it a bit likely, but far from true yet? Then you say that Putin is overthrown ……… well that is very UNLIKELY. Unless the country goes to hell in a handbasket, with millions on Red Square shouting: Hang Mike ..uh… Putin! this is not going to happen. Most likely is that Putin dies of old age or chokes on his breakfast (with some help). As long as Putin lives he will be in power. So prepare for the next 20 years of misery from the Kremlin. So after his death, the initial infighting for control will start. Can be in 20 years, not after the war ends. But the war can go on till Putin dies. As of now, there is still a chance that this is a possible outcome. What’s to stop another dictator from taking Putin’s place??? Well, NOTHING!!!!!! It is very likely that such a person will take control. Why? Because the FSB/KGB does not want to lose the nice power they have now. So a decent guy will fall from his window while he chokes on his breakfast and will fall with his back in a knife. That is the fate of decent guys in Russia. So wise decent guys will stay far from the place where they can take control. Crazy ones may try, like Navalny. And how will the west respond? Well, business as usual. For a Putin-like guy, the sanctions will not be lifted. So he will stay an outcast. But there is a chance that he goes Putin’s way and starts as an overall nice guy. Then we lift the sanctions and slowly he will change into the animal Putin turned in to be. And we will be back at square 1. Sanctions galore.
Trump was always the puppet of PUTIN. How do you think trump became President? The Russians helped the trump team manipulate the results. Putin had always wanted a man in the White House. So when he met trump, he realized that, with his help, trump would be HIS MAN IN THE W.H. I believe, now, with the latest trump problems regarding the SECRET document stealing, you can expect that copies of those documents will now be in Moscow. Trump will do anything for money. All he wants is to see his name in the FORBES MAGAZINE, showing him to be in the top 400 list, for the richest person in the world. That is his goal. One day, (soon I hope) trumpets will finally see how rotten trump is. HIS ONLY LOVE IS MONEY. He doesn’t care how he gets it. Just so long as it is his.Re: “Why has Russia, mostly Putin, never accepted Ukrainian sovereignty for years?” That is not something Ukraine-specific, his agents and forces are committing crimes against many countries. Don’t you remember Litvinenko and Scripal cases? As a shameless criminal state, Putin’s Russia doesn’t care to obey all its international obligations. They are executing agreements and contracts only when they have no choice or while that suits/benefits them. They don’t think there is a force that could stop them. The international foundations are too weak and indecisive to counteract their approach. Have a look – an aggressor who is attacking sovereign countries is keeping a seat of a permanent member in the UN’s Security Council.
I do not know this, but I do believe that Trump would l we leverage financial gain from any and all secrets in his possession. His debts to Deutsch Bank are coming due. The other possibility is that he was hoping to threaten the DOJ with no prosecution by holding the documents for leverage. I firmly believe that any other person would already be incarcerated by now. No. He is an appalling, rational human being who, nevertheless, without regret, and with premeditation, is responsible for the deaths of thousands and the deliberate destruction of a country. I advise, following the methods employed by people like Mats Anderson, Mr. Webster, and several others. By debunking the claims with logic, rationality, and knowledge! Most effective at flexing your muscular brains, dunking on the Russian Trolls with elements that can’t be defeated including the moral right. The enemy trolls and their supporters will be utterly destroyed and anyone with a functioning brain will be discouraged from taking the trolls at their word or going down that rabbit hole.
Beats me. What I do find curious is they’ve established a large chapter at a former military base in Dolna Krupa, about 60 kilometers northeast of Bratislava, Slovakia. I find it curious because Slovakia is a NATO and EU member. The Night Wolves are vehemently opposed to both. As I recall it, Arnold Schwarzenegger who was very popular at the time wasn’t allowed to run for President – get this – because he wasn’t born in the United States. Then in a more recent case, someone made a lot of fuss about Barrack Obama, claiming he had been born in Kenya. Now it wasn’t that this particular person gave a damn about where he was born, but he didn’t want him running for President. The countries that trolls frequently refer to as “The West” rarely agree on everything and do not interact with or relate to individuals, even leaders of Russia, in a unified way. When there is an alliance and groups of nations act as one, it is in response to actions, not a person. Nations had a relationship with Russia and Putin before 24 February. His actions changed that and created the current alliance against him. Therefore, it will depend upon what he does, not who he is.
That’s a good question. Why is Russia flaring $10 million worth of natural gas a day, when it could just shut in the gas wells temporarily until the Nordstream 1 pipeline is back up and running? When I was developing oil and gas field automation systems, I could shut in the gas wells in northern Canada remotely from my desk at the head office in Calgary. I never did that, of course, but I had the capability because I developed the systems and could make them do anything I wanted. The gas processing plants normally controlled their wells from the plant control rooms and could shut them in and open them up remotely at will. If someone pushed the big red emergency shut down (ESD) button in the control room, which shut down the plant, the computer would automatically shut down all the wells in the field in a matter of minutes.
What normally would happen was that the plants would get a nomination (request for gas) every hour from the pipeline companies (sometimes there were three pipelines). They would type the pipeline nominations into the plant computer, and the computer would adjust the wellhead chokes in the field to throttle back the gas flow to meet the nominations. We were penalized for over or under-delivery.
I realize that the Russian gas industry may not be at that level of sophistication, but surely they could send some workers out to turn the wellhead valves manually to shut in the wells rather than flaring $10 million worth of gas a day for weeks. It doesn’t make sense at all unless the Russians are totally incompetent, which I guess is always a possibility based on how they have managed this war. This is Solomon Kunin, a native of St. Petersburg. I studied with him in Israel in the 1990s. After graduating with a master of sciences from Technion, Israel Institute of Technology, he returned to Russia. He made a career as a top manager in the Western retail business and was scouted by German Gref, head of Uber (former Sberbank) to head its new online retail department.